My head is spinning. Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, AIG. Federal bailouts seem imminent for most of them. I cannot calculate how many people have asked me in the past week for my opinion about these historic events. Uncertainty and financial markets mix like oil and water, and this time around is no exception. I would like to add a calming voice to the current situation. There is a history of this sort of thing, and the financial world did not end. Most people do not realize that in the Savings and Loan bailout of the 1980’s, the government was able to recoup most or all of its investment, as I mentioned many blogs ago. I do not want to minimize what has happened either. The Federal government has taken on debt that some estimate may be as much as half a trillion dollars. That sort of thing will have far reaching repercussions. We are in uncharted waters, I think, but the ship is sound.
I am fascinated by the mass psychology of tumultuous financial events such as the one we are currently in. I get impatient to know how it will all turn out, wishing I could fast forward to a more stable point in the future. Not just for the financial gain I would have by knowing the future (though if I’m daydreaming, there is no reason to leave out those sort of fantasies) but just to see who steps forward, who was right, who was dreadfully wrong. You can say a lot of things about the twenty-first century so far, but you can never call it boring. I am also fascinated by the history of such events. The decision of this government to bail out these institutions makes me wonder if the entire Great Depression might have been avoided if the government came in and supported the banks in 1929. That is the most fascinating thing about all this. Did we just avert the second Great Depression, or did we just guarantee its arrival?
By Myron Gushlak
Showing posts with label great depression. Show all posts
Showing posts with label great depression. Show all posts
Thursday, September 25, 2008
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
The Great Depression
The lingering power of the Great Depression amazes me. It began seventy-eight years ago and ended incrementally as the Second World War began. That means that those who were at least ten years old and able to have some first hand memories of its devastating effects are in their eighties or nineties, and yet it looms over all of us like a malevolent god. It seems that every article I read about the current mortgage crisis in the United States sooner or later gets around to a comparison with The Great Depression. “Possibly more foreclosures than at any time since TGD,’ or “more bank failures since TGD.” are almost required components of any media coverage. It predates the lives of ninety percent of all Americans, yet it is still the milestone of financial failure.
I don’t mean to minimize the effects of TGD, but it does cause me to pause and consider. The very mention of those three dreaded words commands attention like no other. Say the words “World War Two,” and people nod and might tell an anecdotal story of an uncle or grandfather who fought. It belongs in the black and white world of yesteryear. The majority of today’s college students couldn’t even name the major powers involved in the conflict. Say the words “influenza epidemic” and the reaction received is similar to that of a science fiction movie, except less real or terrifying. But The Great Depression? A shudder and a hushed question follow. “Could it really happen again?”
I can think of no event with more of a lingering impact to modern man, and I can include Biblical stories in that statement. The destruction of Sodom and Gomorrah or Noah’s flood story are child’s play. Even modern disasters like Chernobyl or Darfur do not carry the clout of TGD. I try to keep that in mind as I read articles about the mortgage crisis. Yes, it is a major problem and it will have rippling effects throughout the economy, but I think we’ve lost perspective. The scariest Halloween costumes in America in the past seventy-five years are not Freddy Kruger or aliens from outer space. They are costumes of a hobo with his earthly possessions on a stick or a WPA worker in khaki pants and a shovel in his hand. Those are the most terrifying images to Americans. The next time you read an article about the mortgage problem, keep that in mind. It will help with your perception.
By Myron Gushlak
I don’t mean to minimize the effects of TGD, but it does cause me to pause and consider. The very mention of those three dreaded words commands attention like no other. Say the words “World War Two,” and people nod and might tell an anecdotal story of an uncle or grandfather who fought. It belongs in the black and white world of yesteryear. The majority of today’s college students couldn’t even name the major powers involved in the conflict. Say the words “influenza epidemic” and the reaction received is similar to that of a science fiction movie, except less real or terrifying. But The Great Depression? A shudder and a hushed question follow. “Could it really happen again?”
I can think of no event with more of a lingering impact to modern man, and I can include Biblical stories in that statement. The destruction of Sodom and Gomorrah or Noah’s flood story are child’s play. Even modern disasters like Chernobyl or Darfur do not carry the clout of TGD. I try to keep that in mind as I read articles about the mortgage crisis. Yes, it is a major problem and it will have rippling effects throughout the economy, but I think we’ve lost perspective. The scariest Halloween costumes in America in the past seventy-five years are not Freddy Kruger or aliens from outer space. They are costumes of a hobo with his earthly possessions on a stick or a WPA worker in khaki pants and a shovel in his hand. Those are the most terrifying images to Americans. The next time you read an article about the mortgage problem, keep that in mind. It will help with your perception.
By Myron Gushlak
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